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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95103406080120140160107113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3872
#19
33.50.9
33.734.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
blue by 7.4
41.01.0
40.541.4
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End5.4
Second
3455
#38
31.60.9
31.132.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
blue by 0.5
32.11.0
32.833.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Third
116
#35
29.80.9
28.429.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
red by 2.2
612
#31
27.61.0
25.526.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned