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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899960801201401609694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#41
33.80.2
33.233.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 5.1
1731
#17
38.90.4
39.939.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
Second
1262
#10
32.20.2
32.532.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 1.4
2849
#47
30.90.4
31.330.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Third
977
#50
22.70.2
22.522.7
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 0.7
5587
#58
23.40.4
23.823.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed