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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937820406010012014016086106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1413
#24
30.20.1
30.930.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
blue by 1.7
623
#9
31.90.5
31.732.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
Second
4286
#21
29.70.1
29.829.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
red by 4.5
540
#16
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
Third
4456
#52
27.10.1
27.227.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
red by 4.7
5957
#36
22.40.5
21.822.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed