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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10491406080120140160121127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#32
38.01.5
36.838.3
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
red by 2.1
401
#5
35.92.1
34.336.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
Second
2363
#46
36.61.5
35.536.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
red by 5.0
4638
#53
31.62.1
29.531.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
Third
384
#28
28.41.5
26.928.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 0.6
5841
#40
29.02.1
26.929.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned