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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8897608012014072102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2068
#22
32.01.0
33.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
blue by 2.5
422
#6
34.50.6
34.334.9
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
449
#33
26.81.0
27.826.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 6.8
1137
#12
33.70.6
33.033.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
Third
2912
#39
24.81.0
25.724.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.4
End4.6
blue by 1.4
1895
#49
26.10.6
25.526.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed32%Capture oddsEarned