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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910660801201409695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5546
#18
35.30.1
35.435.3
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
blue by 1.2
5279
#14
36.50.5
38.337.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
Second
1111
#42
31.10.1
31.231.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
blue by 0.5
3455
#38
31.60.5
32.131.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
888
#29
30.60.1
30.730.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
blue by 0.7
1885
#43
31.30.5
31.831.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned