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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210940608010012014016018010688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#15
36.00.9
35.636.6
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
red by 2.4
3872
#19
33.51.1
34.633.5
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Second
2534
#34
31.30.9
30.431.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
blue by 1.8
1610
#44
33.21.1
35.534.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Third
1719
#56
27.00.9
26.127.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 5.1
32.11.1
33.732.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned22%Capture oddsMissed