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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989980859095105110115112107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
40.01.1
39.440.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 1.3
346
#27
38.80.7
38.539.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
Second
2537
#54
30.61.1
29.530.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
blue by 3.2
1629
#41
33.80.7
33.434.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
612
#31
27.61.1
26.527.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
red by 2.6
3941
#20
24.90.7
24.224.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned