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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810140608012014016087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#13
31.80.1
32.532.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
blue by 4.9
836
#8
36.80.5
36.537.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Second
1829
#45
30.10.1
30.130.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 0.8
5115
#25
30.90.5
30.430.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
Third
6194
#55
25.10.1
25.225.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 4.6
116
#35
29.80.5
29.329.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned