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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918805015020025087105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#37
32.50.0
33.032.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
blue by 0.4
339
#2
32.91.3
32.233.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
5338
#48
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
red by 1.4
5804
#23
29.91.3
28.830.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Third
5587
#58
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 2.5
2421
#57
25.91.3
24.625.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned