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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881275010015020087131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#30
32.50.3
32.732.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
blue by 10.1
42.60.9
41.942.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
Second
4945
#26
32.30.3
32.632.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End5.7
blue by 8.7
41.00.9
41.442.3
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End5.4
Third
1389
#51
25.30.3
25.825.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 9.5
34.80.9
34.135.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed41%Capture oddsEarned