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Red112
83636.8
141842.6
580429.9
Blue118
162933.8
62331.9
236336.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511266080100140160180200220112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.4
42.842.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 6.0
2363
#46
36.60.1
36.936.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.4
37.036.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.0
1629
#41
33.80.1
34.134.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
5804
#23
29.90.4
30.129.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.0
623
#9
31.90.1
32.232.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3