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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968905015020010684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#14
36.50.9
37.738.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
blue by 0.1
2363
#46
36.60.2
36.135.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
4505
#13
31.80.9
25.726.7
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 0.2
3455
#38
31.60.2
27.827.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
2849
#47
30.90.9
28.929.8
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 4.8
1895
#49
26.10.2
23.223.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed