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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11290501001502008488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
36.81.5
37.035.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.0
1629
#41
33.80.2
35.435.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
5546
#18
35.31.5
37.536.0
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
red by 5.5
5804
#23
29.90.2
28.728.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Third
1885
#43
31.31.5
31.429.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
red by 1.6
4286
#21
29.70.2
26.526.4
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed