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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759402040601201401608093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#13
31.80.4
26.726.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
blue by 0.5
4945
#26
32.30.3
33.033.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
5115
#25
30.90.4
29.228.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
blue by 1.0
623
#9
31.90.3
30.030.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
Third
5957
#36
22.40.4
19.619.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
blue by 3.5
2421
#57
25.90.3
25.325.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed