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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310450150101103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3872
#19
33.50.2
29.429.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
blue by 3.0
5279
#14
36.50.1
38.638.5
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
Second
1262
#10
32.20.2
32.132.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
blue by 3.1
5546
#18
35.30.1
36.035.9
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
Third
4638
#53
31.60.2
30.831.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 4.7
449
#33
26.80.1
25.125.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned