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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821002040601201401601808981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#12
33.70.5
32.232.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
blue by 5.3
1731
#17
38.90.9
37.236.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
Second
1111
#42
31.10.5
27.227.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 0.5
2537
#54
30.60.9
33.933.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Third
540
#16
25.10.5
22.623.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
blue by 3.9
5841
#40
29.00.9
23.622.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed