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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789205015020082102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#34
31.30.2
28.929.2
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
blue by 3.4
34.80.6
29.129.7
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Second
4286
#21
29.70.2
26.426.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 3.2
339
#2
32.90.6
29.730.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Third
6194
#55
25.10.2
23.023.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 6.1
5338
#48
31.30.6
29.129.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed