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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82107050150100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#44
33.20.1
29.329.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.8
End5.0
blue by 3.4
2363
#46
36.60.2
35.936.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Second
888
#29
30.60.1
30.230.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
blue by 3.2
1629
#41
33.80.2
35.335.5
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
4456
#52
27.10.1
23.523.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
red by 1.8
1389
#51
25.30.2
28.829.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed