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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041000501502002503003508388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#27
38.81.1
34.833.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
blue by 3.8
42.61.0
44.543.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
Second
1262
#10
32.21.1
32.331.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 0.4
4505
#13
31.81.0
26.325.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
2537
#54
30.61.1
33.031.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 1.0
4286
#21
29.71.0
26.625.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned