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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710205015020025030086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.90.6
36.335.7
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 2.1
836
#8
36.80.2
34.735.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Second
1137
#12
33.70.6
32.732.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End5.7
blue by 2.3
401
#5
35.90.2
33.433.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
Third
612
#31
27.60.6
26.225.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
blue by 5.3
339
#2
32.90.2
30.330.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned