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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91992040608012014016018011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#15
36.01.5
29.631.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
red by 0.6
5546
#18
35.31.4
35.934.5
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
Second
5338
#48
31.31.5
29.731.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
blue by 0.8
2068
#22
32.01.4
30.028.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Third
2849
#47
30.91.5
29.931.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 3.9
1719
#56
27.01.4
29.027.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed