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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008005015010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
40.00.7
38.539.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 9.1
2849
#47
30.90.4
31.431.0
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Second
32.10.7
29.630.3
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
red by 2.0
1829
#45
30.10.4
29.328.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Third
449
#33
26.80.7
26.126.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
red by 4.5
5957
#36
22.40.4
20.319.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed