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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998705015020089108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#14
36.51.0
38.537.5
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
blue by 1.5
686
#32
38.01.4
34.335.8
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
Second
2537
#54
30.61.0
31.830.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
blue by 4.1
34.81.4
30.832.2
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Third
977
#50
22.71.0
23.922.9
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 2.1
2912
#39
24.81.4
21.322.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned