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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84115406010014016018010374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
34.50.1
32.632.7
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
blue by 4.4
1731
#17
38.92.2
37.235.0
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
Second
1885
#43
31.30.1
29.829.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
blue by 5.3
2363
#46
36.62.2
36.434.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
Third
3941
#20
24.90.1
24.124.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
blue by 7.4
4945
#26
32.32.2
33.431.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed