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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104110608012014016012187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.0
35.836.7
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End5.4
blue by 1.6
42.61.9
43.741.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
Second
836
#8
36.81.0
36.437.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 1.4
5546
#18
35.31.9
35.533.6
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
Third
1413
#24
30.21.0
29.530.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 6.8
5587
#58
23.41.9
26.524.6
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed