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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68922040608010012014011198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#35
29.82.7
22.124.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
blue by 6.2
2377
#15
36.00.8
31.131.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
Second
4286
#21
29.72.7
27.330.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 1.0
888
#29
30.60.8
31.732.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
384
#28
28.42.7
20.523.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
red by 2.3
1895
#49
26.10.8
22.823.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned