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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91854060100120140101102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
34.50.9
32.733.6
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 2.0
1599
#30
32.51.3
31.933.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
3872
#19
33.50.9
31.632.5
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
red by 1.7
4505
#13
31.81.3
25.626.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
384
#28
28.40.9
23.224.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
red by 1.4
1719
#56
27.01.3
25.626.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed