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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109550150200110104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.90.4
35.035.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
blue by 1.1
122
#11
40.00.6
40.040.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Second
836
#8
36.80.4
37.337.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 5.2
3455
#38
31.60.6
29.930.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
34.80.4
32.232.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 7.6
4456
#52
27.10.6
24.625.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned