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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899440608012014016096100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#41
33.80.2
33.033.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 1.3
2028
#37
32.50.6
30.030.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Second
5115
#25
30.90.2
27.828.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
blue by 1.2
32.10.6
30.631.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Third
449
#33
26.80.2
26.827.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 2.8
4286
#21
29.70.6
30.030.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned