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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83962040601201408491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#46
36.60.1
34.234.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
red by 4.4
1262
#10
32.20.0
33.233.1
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
Second
5841
#40
29.00.1
25.325.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
blue by 2.4
2534
#34
31.30.0
30.030.0
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Third
612
#31
27.60.1
23.423.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
red by 2.3
1389
#51
25.30.0
28.028.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed