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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91942040608012014016018095117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#32
38.00.4
35.836.2
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
red by 2.0
2377
#15
36.01.4
31.933.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
Second
5804
#23
29.90.4
28.829.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 2.1
2068
#22
32.01.4
29.330.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Third
540
#16
25.10.4
24.725.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
blue by 5.0
1829
#45
30.11.4
30.031.4
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsEarned