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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510060801201401608686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
36.8
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 4.3
1599
#30
32.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
623
#9
31.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End9.3
red by 0.6
1885
#43
31.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.3
Third
2849
#47
30.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 0.2
888
#29
30.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned