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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038220406012014016011269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.0
42.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 11.0
4638
#53
31.60.9
30.329.4
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End3.9
Second
1111
#42
31.11.0
27.828.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 4.3
449
#33
26.80.9
27.026.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
Third
1719
#56
27.01.0
26.827.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
red by 1.9
6194
#55
25.10.9
25.224.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed