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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10289406080120140160113121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#46
36.61.0
34.335.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
red by 4.5
32.12.1
31.233.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.0
End5.0
Second
34.81.0
32.633.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 2.7
2068
#22
32.02.1
30.732.8
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Third
2028
#37
32.51.0
30.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
red by 0.6
4505
#13
31.82.1
26.929.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned