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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81816070901006993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1829
#45
30.10.7
31.430.7
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 1.2
5338
#48
31.31.0
29.330.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
Second
5587
#58
23.40.7
25.024.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 4.2
612
#31
27.61.0
23.524.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Third
977
#50
22.70.7
22.922.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 4.4
4456
#52
27.11.0
25.226.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed