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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059040608012014016012276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
38.91.5
35.436.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.4
End4.3
red by 8.3
2537
#54
30.61.6
30.929.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Second
401
#5
35.91.5
34.936.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
red by 5.7
1413
#24
30.21.6
30.829.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Third
5804
#23
29.91.5
29.230.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 4.6
1389
#51
25.31.6
28.026.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed