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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089040608010012014016018011291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#32
38.00.7
36.236.8
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End5.1
red by 3.5
422
#6
34.50.2
33.633.3
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
2377
#15
36.00.7
33.334.0
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
red by 2.2
1629
#41
33.80.2
33.233.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
3872
#19
33.50.7
32.533.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
red by 7.7
2421
#57
25.90.2
22.922.7
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned