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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11276204060100120140160109101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
40.00.4
40.340.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 8.9
1111
#42
31.10.8
28.829.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Second
1262
#10
32.20.4
32.833.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 3.8
384
#28
28.40.8
25.426.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
5338
#48
31.30.4
30.330.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
red by 5.2
1895
#49
26.10.8
24.725.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed