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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11581204060100140160127109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.3
43.043.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.5
End9.7
red by 11.7
2849
#47
30.91.0
31.832.8
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Second
5279
#14
36.50.3
38.138.4
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End5.9
red by 6.8
116
#35
29.81.0
27.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Third
540
#16
25.10.3
25.826.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
blue by 2.5
612
#31
27.61.0
24.525.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed