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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106630501508885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
34.50.6
33.332.7
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 5.5
5841
#40
29.01.2
25.826.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Second
888
#29
30.60.6
32.832.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 4.7
2421
#57
25.91.2
22.723.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End4.5
Third
5804
#23
29.90.6
30.730.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 7.5
5957
#36
22.41.2
19.220.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed