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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10280501508893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
36.80.5
37.737.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End6.1
red by 3.2
3872
#19
33.50.5
33.233.7
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Second
4286
#21
29.70.5
31.430.9
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
red by 4.7
3941
#20
24.90.5
25.125.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Third
1389
#51
25.30.5
26.425.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
red by 2.6
977
#50
22.70.5
22.322.8
Auto9.1
Teleop9.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed