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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938220406010012014010875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#38
31.61.0
30.231.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
red by 1.0
2537
#54
30.60.4
29.328.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Second
2534
#34
31.31.0
29.730.6
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
red by 4.3
1719
#56
27.00.4
27.927.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
5115
#25
30.91.0
28.729.7
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
red by 7.5
5587
#58
23.40.4
24.323.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed