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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109350150200118107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#27
38.80.9
36.837.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End9.5
red by 2.8
2377
#15
36.00.9
34.034.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End10.6
Second
2363
#46
36.60.9
35.336.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.3
End10.5
red by 4.1
1599
#30
32.50.9
33.134.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Third
339
#2
32.90.9
32.733.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End3.5
red by 6.0
449
#33
26.80.9
26.127.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed