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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027420406012014016072103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
35.91.5
35.834.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.0
red by 3.5
2028
#37
32.51.5
31.533.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Second
2849
#47
30.91.5
32.831.3
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 6.1
2912
#39
24.81.5
24.325.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Third
540
#16
25.11.5
26.124.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End4.4
red by 2.7
5957
#36
22.41.5
20.421.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed