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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95103608012014016011782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
34.51.6
32.734.3
Auto9.7
Teleop20.3
End4.5
blue by 0.8
5546
#18
35.31.1
36.535.4
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End12.5
Second
4505
#13
31.81.6
30.932.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.7
1829
#45
30.11.1
31.330.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Third
1111
#42
31.11.6
29.631.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 1.5
4286
#21
29.71.1
30.929.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed