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Final 12016 Colorado Regional
Red162
101138.0
161945.4
455021.8
Blue118
449934.1
328830.7
133927.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911750100150200162118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
45.40.1
44.5→44.6
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 11.3
4499
#13
34.10.2
34.7→34.5
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
1011
#4
38.00.1
37.2→37.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 7.3
3288
#3
30.70.2
31.3→31.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Third
4550
#23
21.80.1
20.9→21.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 5.6
1339
#34
27.50.2
28.1→27.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0