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Quarterfinal 4-32016 Colorado Regional
Red139
449934.1
328830.7
133927.5
Blue95
226122.8
66228.8
406823.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259005015020025013995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#13
34.10.0
35.0→35.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 5.3
662
#7
28.80.0
28.8→28.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
Second
3288
#3
30.70.0
31.6→31.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 7.1
4068
#27
23.60.0
23.6→23.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
1339
#34
27.50.0
28.4→28.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 4.7
2261
#16
22.80.0
22.8→22.8
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9