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Quarterfinal 3-32016 Colorado Regional
Red0
299636.4
323041.9
197720.5
Blue113
113828.6
141031.7
441819.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127890501001502000113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2DQ
41.90.1
41.8→41.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 10.2
1410
#9
31.70.3
30.3→30.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
2996
#22DQ
36.40.1
36.3→36.4
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
red by 7.8
1138
#12
28.60.3
27.2→27.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
1977
#40DQ
20.50.1
20.4→20.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 1.5
4418
#39
19.00.3
17.4→17.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4