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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Colorado Regional
Red133
449934.1
328830.7
133927.5
Blue141
494421.3
66228.8
406823.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12587050100150200133141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#13
34.10.2
34.8→35.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 5.3
662
#7
28.80.2
28.6→28.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
Second
3288
#3
30.70.2
31.4→31.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 7.1
4068
#27
23.60.2
23.4→23.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
1339
#34
27.50.2
28.2→28.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 6.2
4944
#18
21.30.2
21.1→21.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7